Chesterfield vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
4 - 1
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CHE
2 - 0
POR
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 0
CHE
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
SHW
4 - 1
CHE
78%
16%
6%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 3
GRI
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
WAL
3 - 3
BRA
34%
29%
38%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 1
BBU
42%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
GIL
0 - 1
BRA
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 3
DON
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 1
BPO
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |