Chesterfield vs Basingstoke Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
CHE
3 - 3
CHA
20%
25%
56%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
GIL
2 - 1
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
OLD
0 - 1
CHE
53%
23%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 1
YEO
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
CHE
2 - 1
WHU
19%
23%
59%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
FIS
3 - 3
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
EAS
1 - 1
BAS
68%
20%
13%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
SAL
12%
20%
69%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 3
WEL
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
BOG
1 - 2
BAS
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |