Chesterfield vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
HUR
1 - 1
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 1
BHA
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
ROT
0 - 1
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 4
CRE
44%
24%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 0
BPO
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 2
HUR
40%
27%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
CRE
2 - 0
BOU
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 0
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 0
BHA
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
SCU
3 - 2
BOU
70%
20%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |