Chesterfield vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 1
BRA
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 3
GIL
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BCF
2 - 1
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 1
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
OLD
0 - 0
CHE
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
STA
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
COL
1 - 2
STA
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
WHU
1 - 0
STA
81%
13%
5%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
OPA
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |