Chester vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GRI
2 - 1
CHE
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CHE
3 - 2
HYD
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
WEL
2 - 0
CHE
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 0
TAM
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LUT
3 - 0
CHE
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WRE
3 - 0
NUN
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
WRE
1 - 0
MAC
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
WRE
0 - 1
GRI
37%
28%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
WOK
2 - 1
WRE
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
WRE
1 - 1
SAL
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |