Chester vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
COR
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HIS
1 - 4
CHE
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
GLO
0 - 1
CHE
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 0
CHE
20%
21%
58%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 2
WOR
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 3
WOR
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 1
WOR
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 3
ALT
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
HIN
0 - 5
WOR
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 2
BRA
36%
26%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |