Chester vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 1
CHE
54%
23%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
GUL
2 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 2
BOR
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GUI
3 - 3
CHE
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 2
BAR
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 2
KID
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 2
WEL
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
WEL
2 - 1
WOK
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
EAS
0 - 0
WEL
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 1
GAT
20%
24%
55%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |