Chester vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 0
CHE
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
WOK
0 - 1
CHE
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
GAT
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHE
30%
23%
47%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
WEL
1 - 2
ALF
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
GAT
1 - 1
WEL
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
WEL
3 - 0
WOK
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
WEL
0 - 2
HYD
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
WEL
1 - 1
DAR
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |