Chester vs Torquay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
HER
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
SWI
1 - 0
CHE
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 0
BCF
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
WRE
0 - 0
CHE
38%
29%
33%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
STA
0 - 1
CHE
56%
24%
21%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
GUL
0 - 1
DAR
29%
28%
43%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
ROC
2 - 0
GUL
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
GUL
0 - 1
HAR
21%
27%
52%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 0
GUL
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
GUL
1 - 1
BAR
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |