Chester vs Spennymoor Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHE
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 3
BRA
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 2
KIN
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 1
BLY
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
YOR
4 - 2
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
SPE
4 - 0
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ALT
4 - 1
SPE
58%
21%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SPE
3 - 3
AFC
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SPE
5 - 0
ALF
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
SPE
3 - 2
ALT
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |