Chester vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 1
BRO
56%
22%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 2
CHE
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 5
LIN
38%
25%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
CHE
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
YOR
1 - 1
CHE
27%
26%
48%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 0
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
FLE
4 - 1
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 2
MAI
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 0
FLE
22%
25%
54%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GUL
1 - 2
SOU
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |