Chester vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 1
ALF
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
ALD
2 - 0
CHE
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
DAR
0 - 1
CHE
40%
24%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
3 - 3
NUN
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
TAM
3 - 4
CHE
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 1
MAC
35%
25%
41%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
WOK
2 - 0
SOU
58%
22%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 0
DAR
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
GRI
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 1
SOU
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |