Chester vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 1
CHE
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
RFC
0 - 2
CHE
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 1
LEY
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
YEO
4 - 1
CHE
49%
25%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
CHE
3 - 0
KID
60%
23%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
OXF
0 - 1
ROC
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
ROC
2 - 1
OXF
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
SOU
4 - 0
OXF
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
OXF
1 - 0
CHE
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 0
OXF
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |