Chester vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
CHE
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
DRO
3 - 4
CHE
19%
22%
60%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 0
HIN
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 25 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
5 - 0
DRO
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 0
TOW
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 1
VAU
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
OXF
2 - 1
BRA
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BOS
3 - 1
OXF
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 0
OXF
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SUT
1 - 0
OXF
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |