FA Cup 1/256
Global 3-3
Chester vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
1 - 1
CHE
49%
22%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
DAR
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
HAN
0 - 4
CHE
25%
21%
54%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 0
HAN
62%
20%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 2
CHE
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
1 - 1
CHE
49%
22%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAI
1 - 1
OLD
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 2
SCU
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
1 - 2
WRE
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
3 - 0
OLD
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |