Chester vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 2
CHE
53%
24%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BRO
2 - 1
CHE
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHE
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 1
BOS
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
CHE
2 - 2
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
NOT
2 - 2
NOR
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
NOT
2 - 1
STF
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
WYC
2 - 0
NOT
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
NOT
3 - 2
DAR
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 0
BAR
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |