Chester vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
LEY
2 - 0
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 2
BRO
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 1
BOS
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
DAR
1 - 0
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 1
BCF
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 0
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
CHE
1 - 0
NOR
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 2
SCU
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
LEY
3 - 2
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 0
STF
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |