Chester vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
EXE
2 - 0
CHE
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
CHE
3 - 0
BRE
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
GIL
2 - 0
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
ROC
6 - 1
CHE
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 2
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BHA
4 - 1
MIL
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
MIL
1 - 0
HER
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SCU
3 - 2
MIL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
COL
1 - 2
MIL
48%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MIL
3 - 1
LEE
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |