Chester vs Marine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SPE
2 - 1
CHE
46%
24%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 1
SPE
41%
23%
36%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 2
LEA
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
KID
1 - 2
CHE
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
WOR
2 - 3
CHE
21%
22%
58%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 0
MOS
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 1
NAN
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +3 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 0
TAD
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
WID
0 - 2
MAR
23%
22%
56%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
RUN
1 - 2
MAR
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |