Chester vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
56%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
BAR
2 - 0
CHE
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
CHE
0 - 1
SWA
30%
28%
42%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
CHE
0 - 0
SOU
36%
28%
37%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
STA
1 - 2
CHE
45%
23%
33%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
HAR
1 - 0
CHE
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
MAC
1 - 2
STO
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
WOL
4 - 1
MAC
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
MAC
0 - 1
HUR
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1999 |
MAC
3 - 1
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAC
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |