Chester vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
HER
2 - 2
CHE
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HYD
1 - 2
CHE
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
ALD
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
GAT
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHE
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 2
LUT
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
WEL
2 - 1
LUT
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GAT
0 - 0
LUT
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
WOK
0 - 1
LUT
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TAM
3 - 4
LUT
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |