Chester vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
YEO
4 - 1
CHE
49%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
CHE
3 - 0
KID
60%
23%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
CHE
2 - 1
GRI
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
RUS
0 - 1
CHE
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
CHE
0 - 0
CHE
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
CAM
0 - 2
LEY
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
LEY
1 - 1
SCU
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 4
LEY
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
SWA
1 - 0
LEY
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
LEY
4 - 1
STF
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |