Chester vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
CHE
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ALT
1 - 0
CHE
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 0
HAL
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
CHE
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 3
LIN
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
KID
1 - 0
WOK
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
STO
3 - 0
KID
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KID
0 - 1
SOU
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
ALT
2 - 2
KID
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
KID
66%
21%
14%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |