Chester vs Histon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
BRA
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BIS
1 - 2
CHE
22%
24%
55%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
STA
2 - 6
CHE
32%
25%
44%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BOS
3 - 2
CHE
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 0
GUI
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
DRO
2 - 2
HIS
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
HIS
2 - 0
VAU
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
HIS
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HIS
0 - 1
HAL
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
HIS
67%
18%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |