Chester vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 0
CHE
24%
25%
52%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 1
CHE
14%
21%
66%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
HAL
1 - 1
CHE
25%
24%
50%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
SOL
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 1
CHE
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
BRA
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 4
HER
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
HER
1 - 2
MAN
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
GAT
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |