Chester vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CUR
4 - 0
CHE
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 1
BUX
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 0
SCU
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SCA
3 - 1
CHE
33%
24%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 0
FAR
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HER
3 - 0
FAR
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 0
HER
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CUR
1 - 2
HER
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BUX
1 - 2
HER
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 0
HER
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |