Chester vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
DAR
2 - 1
CHE
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CHE
5 - 0
SOU
32%
26%
43%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 1
BRA
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BOS
4 - 0
CHE
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CUR
4 - 3
CHE
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
KID
3 - 0
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
GUI
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
BOS
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CHO
3 - 2
HER
58%
24%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
GLO
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |