Chester vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 0
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
4 - 0
CIT
73%
15%
12%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 1
KID
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BOS
0 - 2
CHE
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 0
UNM
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
SPE
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
WHI
3 - 4
HER
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HER
0 - 0
WHI
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
HER
0 - 2
ASH
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |