Chester vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 3
GAT
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 0
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
FYL
1 - 1
CHE
81%
13%
7%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
EBB
0 - 1
CHE
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 1
CHE
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 2
WRE
36%
27%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
DAG
4 - 2
HAR
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 2
GAT
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
GAT
2 - 2
HAR
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 2
MAI
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |