Chester vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 0
NOT
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
WYC
1 - 0
CHE
63%
22%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 2
SWI
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
GUL
2 - 2
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
LEE
1 - 0
CHE
73%
19%
8%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 0
GRI
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
GRI
2 - 1
WAL
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
GRI
1 - 1
MAC
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
BCF
3 - 0
GRI
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
GRI
0 - 3
CRE
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -2 |