Chester vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
66.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 2
WAL
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
ALT
3 - 2
CHE
32%
24%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 3
CHE
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
HYD
1 - 1
CHE
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 2
BOR
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
FYL
2 - 2
BOR
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
FYL
2 - 1
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
FYL
0 - 0
BOL
21%
21%
58%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
FYL
0 - 1
ROC
29%
23%
48%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 5
FYL
18%
20%
62%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |