Chester vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
KID
3 - 1
CHE
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 2
WOK
60%
22%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 2
HER
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 0
CHE
24%
25%
52%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 1
CHE
14%
21%
66%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
LUT
44%
26%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 1
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
NUN
1 - 1
FOR
49%
27%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
8 - 0
HYD
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
2 - 1
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |