Chester vs Darlington FC analysis

Chester Darlington FC
51 ELO 44
-15.6% Tilt -3.4%
3401º General ELO ranking 5542º
110º Country ELO ranking 225º
ELO win probability
55.4%
Chester
23.5%
Draw
21.1%
Darlington FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
Chester
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.1%
Win probability
Darlington FC
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chester
+8%
+20%
Darlington FC

Points and table prediction

Chester
Their league position
Darlington FC
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
21º
10º
56
16º
24º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tamworth
96
96
100%
Scunthorpe United
88
88
100%
Brackley Town
85
85
100%
Chorley
83
83
100%
Alfreton Town
80
80
100%
Boston United
75
75
100%
Curzon Ashton
75
75
100%
South Shields
74
74
100%
Spennymoor Town
74
74
100%
Chester
10º
69
69
10º
100%
Hereford
11º
69
69
11º
100%
Warrington Town
12º
64
64
12º
100%
Scarborough Athletic
13º
64
64
13º
100%
Buxton
14º
62
62
14º
100%
Peterborough Sports
15º
58
58
15º
100%
Southport
17º
56
56
16º
100%
Darlington FC
16º
56
56
17º
100%
Kings Lynn Town
18º
55
55
18º
100%
Rushall Olympic
19º
54
54
19º
100%
Farsley Celtic
20º
53
53
20º
100%
Blyth Spartans
21º
50
50
21º
100%
Banbury United
22º
38
38
22º
100%
Gloucester City
23º
36
36
23º
100%
Bishops Stortford
24º
21
21
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chester
Darlington FC
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chester
Darlington FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chester
Chester
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
BRA
Brackley Town
3 - 1
Chester
CHE
41%
28%
31%
52 53 1 0
06 Apr. 2024
GLO
Gloucester City
1 - 6
Chester
CHE
20%
24%
56%
52 38 14 0
01 Apr. 2024
CHE
Chester
0 - 2
Alfreton Town
ALF
50%
26%
24%
53 48 5 -1
29 Mar. 2024
BUX
Buxton
1 - 4
Chester
CHE
31%
27%
42%
53 46 7 0
23 Mar. 2024
CHE
Chester
0 - 1
South Shields
SOU
54%
25%
22%
53 47 6 0

Matches

Darlington FC
Darlington FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
DAR
Darlington FC
3 - 1
Farsley Celtic
FAR
58%
23%
19%
43 38 5 0
06 Apr. 2024
DAR
Darlington FC
2 - 0
Southport
SOU
46%
25%
29%
42 42 0 +1
01 Apr. 2024
WAR
Warrington Town
1 - 3
Darlington FC
DAR
62%
21%
17%
41 48 7 +1
29 Mar. 2024
DAR
Darlington FC
0 - 3
Chorley
CHO
30%
26%
44%
42 49 7 -1
23 Mar. 2024
RUS
Rushall Olympic
3 - 2
Darlington FC
DAR
38%
24%
38%
44 38 6 -2
X