Chester vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
50.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 1
CHE
59%
24%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 1
BRA
31%
29%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 2
WRE
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
DAR
1 - 0
CHE
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
MKD
1 - 0
CHE
74%
17%
8%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
DAR
3 - 2
GRI
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
STF
0 - 0
DAR
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
WYC
2 - 0
DAR
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
DAR
1 - 0
CHE
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
DAR
3 - 1
BRE
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |