Chester vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
WOL
5 - 1
CHE
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
RUS
1 - 1
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 2
LIN
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
POS
0 - 1
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
OXF
0 - 1
CHE
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
HAR
3 - 1
DAR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
GRI
0 - 1
DAR
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
DAR
0 - 1
LEY
51%
24%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
DAR
2 - 0
STO
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
RUS
1 - 1
DAR
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |