Chester vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GAI
1 - 0
CHE
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
NEE
0 - 1
CHE
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 0
CHE
32%
25%
44%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CHE
3 - 0
HER
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CUR
4 - 0
CHE
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 1
MAR
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
LEA
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
CHO
24%
25%
52%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
KIN
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 2
CHO
47%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |