Chester vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
42.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LEA
3 - 0
CHE
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 2
SPE
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 3
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
DAR
2 - 1
CHE
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CHE
5 - 0
SOU
32%
26%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +4 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DAR
3 - 0
CHO
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LEA
2 - 1
CHO
19%
25%
55%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 3
CHO
13%
23%
64%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CHO
3 - 2
HER
58%
24%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 2
FYL
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |