Chester vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 0
SCU
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SCA
3 - 1
CHE
33%
24%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 0
FAR
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 0
STO
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
CHE
18%
21%
61%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KIN
2 - 0
BUX
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BUX
1 - 2
HER
36%
26%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BUX
0 - 1
CUR
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
KID
2 - 0
BUX
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BUX
1 - 1
KID
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |