Chester vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 1
CHE
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AFC
3 - 1
CHE
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BLY
8 - 1
CHE
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
CUR
0 - 3
CHE
62%
20%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 0
SPE
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 2
BRA
23%
24%
52%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 0
BOS
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
BRA
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
STO
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 0
SPE
56%
22%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |