Chester vs Barrow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WRE
3 - 0
CHE
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 0
CHE
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
CHE
8 - 2
ALD
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 1
BRO
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 1
TRA
41%
26%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRO
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
ALT
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
BOR
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BOR
0 - 2
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
FOR
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |