Chester vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 2
SAL
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 1
CHE
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 0
WRE
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GRI
2 - 1
CHE
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CHE
3 - 2
HYD
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 3
BAR
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRA
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NUN
0 - 1
BAR
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 4
HAL
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 1
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |