Chester vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
WRE
2 - 2
CHE
30%
30%
40%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 2
MKD
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHE
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHE
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
LIN
0 - 1
CHE
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
BUR
1 - 1
BAR
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 3
GRI
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
STF
1 - 0
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 1
GIL
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 1
NOT
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |