Chester vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
BCF
0 - 0
CHE
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 0
WYC
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
CHE
2 - 1
WRE
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
OXF
0 - 1
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CHE
2 - 1
MAC
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAN
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
OXF
2 - 0
BAR
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 1
NOT
49%
25%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
BOS
2 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 0
DAR
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |