Chester vs Ashton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 2
ALF
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
4 - 3
CHE
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 0
HER
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 0
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
4 - 0
CIT
73%
15%
12%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 0
ASH
58%
21%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 1
ASH
32%
24%
45%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SPE
5 - 0
ASH
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
KIN
0 - 1
ASH
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ASH
2 - 1
LEA
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |