Chester vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 2
MAC
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CHE
4 - 1
GUL
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 2
CHE
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 1
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GAT
1 - 0
CHE
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 0
ALT
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 0
ALT
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
ALT
1 - 1
LEA
55%
23%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
COL
3 - 2
ALT
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
ALT
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |