Chester vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 5
CHE
14%
20%
66%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
GLO
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TOW
1 - 3
CHE
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 1
GAI
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
VAU
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 0
VAU
66%
18%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 0
WOR
72%
17%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 3
ALT
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 1
SOL
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
DRO
0 - 5
ALT
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |