Chester vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
GAT
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
FAR
2 - 2
CHE
30%
25%
46%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHE
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GLO
2 - 1
CHE
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 1
CUR
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
KID
3 - 0
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 2
DAR
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LEA
4 - 3
ALF
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
3 - 1
FAR
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 2
BRA
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |