Chester vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 1
WIT
64%
20%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
WIT
1 - 1
CHE
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 1
CHE
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 0
NOR
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
EAS
0 - 3
CHE
65%
20%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
ALD
3 - 4
EAS
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
ALD
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ALD
2 - 0
BOR
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SUT
2 - 0
ALD
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
ALD
0 - 1
EAS
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |