Chester vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 2
FYL
22%
23%
56%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 3
CHE
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SPE
4 - 2
CHE
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 1
LEA
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CUR
2 - 1
CHE
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
LEA
2 - 2
AFC
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 3
CHE
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 1
GUI
43%
25%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
STO
3 - 2
AFC
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 2
KET
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |