Chester vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NUN
3 - 2
CHE
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
DAR
2 - 4
CHE
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 2
BRO
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 0
GAT
29%
27%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
3 - 1
CHE
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 1
GRI
33%
27%
39%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 3
BRA
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 1
BAS
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
AFC
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 1
ALT
39%
23%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |